Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003772 0.004122 0.004497 0.004930 0.005416 0.005948 0.006576
2025-11-02 0.003139 0.003620 0.004172 0.004857 0.005691 0.006681 0.007960
2025-11-09 0.002805 0.003352 0.004010 0.004868 0.005973 0.007366 0.009291
2025-11-16 0.002538 0.003117 0.003838 0.004817 0.006134 0.007880 0.010433
2025-11-23 0.002311 0.002901 0.003658 0.004720 0.006203 0.008254 0.011405
2025-11-30 0.002179 0.002792 0.003601 0.004769 0.006463 0.008904 0.012845
2025-12-07 0.002099 0.002744 0.003614 0.004912 0.006859 0.009785 0.014753
2025-12-14 0.001966 0.002608 0.003495 0.004848 0.006938 0.010186 0.015937
2025-12-21 0.001837 0.002471 0.003360 0.004747 0.006944 0.010464 0.016943
2025-12-28 0.001738 0.002368 0.003267 0.004697 0.007021 0.010861 0.018208
2026-01-04 0.001671 0.002305 0.003228 0.004727 0.007226 0.011489 0.019989
2026-01-11 0.001586 0.002212 0.003136 0.004664 0.007268 0.011833 0.021273
2026-01-18 0.001510 0.002130 0.003060 0.004628 0.007367 0.012315 0.022976
2026-01-25 0.001431 0.002041 0.002969 0.004561 0.007407 0.012700 0.024566
2026-02-01 0.001376 0.001985 0.002926 0.004571 0.007584 0.013368 0.026911
2026-02-08 0.001314 0.001914 0.002853 0.004524 0.007650 0.013819 0.028844
2026-02-15 0.001249 0.001834 0.002761 0.004434 0.007624 0.014077 0.030363
2026-02-22 0.001215 0.001802 0.002746 0.004480 0.007865 0.014929 0.033582
2026-03-01 0.001199 0.001798 0.002777 0.004612 0.008289 0.016241 0.038379
2026-03-08 0.001150 0.001738 0.002709 0.004553 0.008316 0.016659 0.040763
2026-03-15 0.001098 0.001671 0.002625 0.004459 0.008262 0.016878 0.042614
2026-03-22 0.001058 0.001622 0.002569 0.004413 0.008305 0.017336 0.045337
2026-03-29 0.001032 0.001594 0.002551 0.004441 0.008510 0.018224 0.049713